Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 102218.065762 107688.084146 113150.372900 119010.631823 125116.150748 131286.029604 137988.488026
2025-08-03 92740.825520 101083.733606 109641.266831 119064.129644 129137.388573 139572.069247 151187.018218
2025-08-10 86167.992026 96491.079342 107306.333054 119459.672253 132713.147275 146704.900669 162569.634462
2025-08-17 80868.165464 92646.608603 105208.285973 119565.318136 135481.857514 152548.340331 172192.594915
2025-08-24 77351.719316 90388.627106 104507.853156 120881.141952 139289.126567 159288.279930 182600.895813
2025-08-31 73462.901252 87423.544212 102758.100045 120777.936865 141296.136908 163853.646273 190448.044786
2025-09-07 71105.002877 86011.892533 102593.644495 122309.851907 145013.083389 170234.142440 200264.875246
2025-09-14 68719.616311 84414.693872 102080.985724 123318.821730 148030.483939 175748.246974 209054.116045
2025-09-21 66073.525559 82373.590883 100930.204147 123473.475646 149965.076602 179950.974166 216292.961641
2025-09-28 63684.699390 80520.645008 99894.777571 123665.409938 151860.553606 184047.797181 223371.420114
2025-10-05 62464.302865 79993.055334 100362.029034 125577.348873 155737.068304 190430.440477 233119.467932
2025-10-12 61157.399589 79292.951407 100566.143329 127127.652317 159152.642626 196260.397598 242231.135410
2025-10-19 59543.656096 78177.305013 100244.410213 128037.162182 161817.699457 201246.234374 250424.869975
2025-10-26 57634.988050 76630.653091 99342.167304 128194.571683 163544.404821 205103.233275 257286.966572
2025-11-02 55990.449827 75351.798617 98713.493011 128637.850070 165581.131011 209311.610680 264571.034325
2025-11-09 54286.001162 73936.184301 97860.937291 128755.394259 167180.812539 212969.776045 271187.074707
2025-11-16 53298.277068 73393.052317 98062.178613 130154.301069 170340.538978 218518.462829 280115.177546
2025-11-23 51659.336004 71958.233548 97093.760045 130044.964209 171597.489507 221725.871696 286185.077352
2025-11-30 50905.368532 71641.600674 97517.351042 131672.056239 175011.447297 227585.785605 295533.710072
2025-12-07 49943.630306 71018.675777 97521.240440 132743.562397 177716.032169 232572.465407 303826.968342
2025-12-14 48631.035955 69891.676908 96840.578017 132907.794455 179251.655698 236098.257081 310315.440003
2025-12-21 47397.314977 68832.431576 96214.118870 133111.609103 180815.096433 239647.885130 316838.021226
2025-12-28 46991.153548 68867.549608 97002.822165 135141.696786 184714.261940 246140.099879 327076.547002